Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.234613 0.270527 0.311215 0.360950 0.420405 0.489575 0.576682
2025-10-19 0.179410 0.225886 0.284414 0.364526 0.472877 0.616598 0.825523
2025-10-26 0.150530 0.201723 0.271298 0.374884 0.528917 0.755702 1.127042
2025-11-02 0.129359 0.181822 0.257456 0.377825 0.571151 0.881745 1.445506
2025-11-09 0.113271 0.165532 0.244631 0.377767 0.606218 1.002514 1.792240
2025-11-16 0.100239 0.151379 0.232047 0.374558 0.633749 1.115477 2.161962
2025-11-23 0.089287 0.138698 0.219481 0.368387 0.653643 1.218136 2.547214
2025-11-30 0.083010 0.132615 0.216669 0.378427 0.705310 1.396167 3.169906
2025-12-07 0.075175 0.122838 0.205980 0.371731 0.721903 1.504354 3.669955
2025-12-14 0.069727 0.116501 0.200472 0.373908 0.757229 1.664431 4.382755
2025-12-21 0.064719 0.110338 0.194410 0.373807 0.787350 1.820898 5.165835
2025-12-28 0.061496 0.107052 0.193325 0.383827 0.843060 2.060403 6.350972
2026-01-04 0.058145 0.103246 0.190913 0.391002 0.894940 2.311454 7.758713
2026-01-11 0.055015 0.099544 0.188275 0.397344 0.946871 2.583979 9.463634
2026-01-18 0.052683 0.097152 0.188021 0.409224 1.016959 2.941965 11.848335
2026-01-25 0.049853 0.093449 0.184500 0.412553 1.064138 3.245120 14.274910
2026-02-01 0.047037 0.089491 0.179938 0.412499 1.101621 3.531679 16.928546
2026-02-08 0.044237 0.085300 0.174372 0.408939 1.127728 3.788919 19.724343
2026-02-15 0.041478 0.080945 0.167952 0.402092 1.141910 4.007327 22.564670
2026-02-22 0.040111 0.079480 0.168082 0.413234 1.219292 4.532424 28.391369
2026-03-01 0.037731 0.075568 0.161970 0.405802 1.230718 4.771174 32.372083
2026-03-08 0.036107 0.073214 0.159386 0.408218 1.278731 5.212249 38.997756
2026-03-15 0.034470 0.070690 0.156115 0.408106 1.317756 5.634071 46.387232